CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2014-03-23T04:09:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2014-03-23T04:09ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/4721/-1
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2014-03-25T19:25Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 4.0
Predicted Arrival Time: 2014-03-26T00:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 5.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Other (SIDC)
Prediction Method Note:
:Issued: 2014 Mar 24 1255 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu .... COMMENT: Several C-class flares in past 24h. The strongest one was a C4.5 flare from AR 2014 peaking at 00:10 UT. AR 2010, 2014 and 2015 have potential for M-class flares. Geomagnetic conditions are quiet, solar wind speed is around 400 km/s with IMF values lower than 5 nT. The conditions may reach active and minor storm levels when/if the CME of March 23 arrives to the Earth, expected early on March 26. .... :Issued: 2014 Mar 25 1335 UTC ... COMMENT: Solar activity has been dominated by minor C-class flares from NOAA ARs 2010 and 2014. These two ARs, and AR 2015, have potential for M-class flares. A rise in the GOES proton levels (10 MeV up to 1 pfu) was seen this morning, this could correspond with the approaching shock of the CME from March 23 (low energy protons and electrons on ACE show an increase at the same time). It could also be related with activity seen at 05:30 UT around NOAA AR 2015, a flare accompanied by dimmings. There is no LASCO data yet but the COR instruments on STEREO show a CME directed towards the west. Geomagnetic conditions are quiet, solar wind speed around 400 km/s, IMF around 5 nT. Conditions may reach minor storm levels with the arrival of the March 23 CME, expected for early March 26 (midnight).. ...Lead Time: 30.50 hour(s)
Difference: -4.58 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Leila Mays (GSFC) on 2014-03-24T12:55Z
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